Bitcoin Price To Break $125,000 But Sell Everything In October, Analyst Warns
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. Bitcoin’s price action in recent weeks has been mostly highlighted by a trading range between $80,000 and $85,000, with a struggle to reclaim buying pressure. Despite the current lack of a strong bullish momentum, many crypto analysts are banking on a bullish continuation and a new Bitcoin price all-time high before the end of 2025. According to crypto analyst TradingShot, Bitcoin could be approaching the final leg of this bull cycle, predicting a peak above $125,000. However, this analysis comes with a caveat that an extended bear market might roll in by October 2025. Long-Term Bitcoin Cycles Hint At Imminent Peak TradingShot’s analysis, which was posted on the TradingView platform, is based on over a decade of symmetrical Bitcoin market behavior that shows both bull and bear cycles unfolding in consistent timeframes. According to TradingShot, the bull cycles dating back to 2015 have all lasted approximately 1,064 days, or 152 weeks, with each cycle topping out almost exactly three years after the previous bottom. On the other hand, bear cycles have consistently lasted for around one year, either from December to December or November to November. Related Reading This historical symmetry is reflected in the chart below, which highlights three bull cycles followed by three bear periods, all forming a repeating pattern. The most recent bottom, recorded on November 7, 2022, marked the start of the current bull cycle. If this pattern holds, Bitcoin could reach its next peak in the week of October 6, 2025. Source: Tradingshot on Tradingview The bull cycle has led to Bitcoin breaking above $100,000 and now with an all-time high of $108,786, but like many others, the analyst predicted this peak will still be broken this year. This peak will likely mirror the explosive rallies that ended the 2017 and 2021 cycles and eventually surpass $125,000. Sell Everything In October 2025, Buy Back In October 2026 TradingShot’s primary advice is blunt but strategic: sell everything by October 2025. According to the analyst, this window could be the final opportunity to exit near the top before the next bear cycle takes hold. Counting 1064 days from the most recent bottom of $15,600 in November 07 2022, gives a time estimate for the next cycle top on October 6 2025. If history repeats itself, the subsequent bearish phase will likely last for 12 months and bottom out around October 12, 2026, before the next bull phase. This timing is not speculative; it’s based on a consistent one-year bearish phase across three full market cycles. Therefore, it would be better to sell before October 2025 and start accumulating by October 2026. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $84,500, up by 0.9% in the past 24 hours and 48% away from the predicted peak of $125,000. BTC trading at $84,350 on the 1D chart | Source: DOGEUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin Dominates Q1: Altcoin Season Nowhere In Sight—Report
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. According to CoinGecko’s 2025 Q1 Report, the cryptocurrency market, led by Bitcoin, lost nearly one-fifth of its value in the first quarter of 2025, fully negating the gains made towards the end of 2024. Related Reading Total market value witnessed a drop of $3.8 trillion to $2.8 trillion, an 18.6% decline over the quarter. This sharp plunge marked the turnaround before the inauguration of Donald Trump as US president, in stark contrast to last year’s ramp up. Trading volume also suffered some contractions, as the daily volumes dropped to $146 billion, a decrease of 27%. Bitcoin Rules Market While Others Decline Bitcoin insulated itself reasonably from the turbulence in other cryptocurrencies so that its market share reached nearly 60%, the highest in four years. Bitcoin achieved peak valuation at $106,182 in January shortly after inauguration but plunged almost 12% to finish the quarter at $82,514. Compared with Bitcoin during this period, gold and US Treasury bonds were traditional safe-haven investments with lower performance. Compared to Ethereum, however, the situation was much worse. Its price fell by 45%, essentially wiping out all gains in 2024. Its market share dropped to almost 8%, the lowest it has been since the end of 2019. As it has been observed by most analysts, this downturn is not something new since more and more activities have shifted toward “Layer 2” networks built atop Ethereum and not using the Ethereum main network. Meme Coins Crash After Major Scam The previously red-hot meme coin space received a rude wake-up call in early 2025. Following a boom in Trump-themed tokens, the industry was severely hurt when the Libra token – introduced by Argentina’s President Javier Milei – proved to be a scam. The project was abandoned by developers after they had taken investors’ funds, shattering confidence in such tokens. By late March, new token launches on the platform Pump.fun per day had dropped by over 50%. DeFi Industry Loses More Than A Quarter Of Its Value Not even the decentralized finance (DeFi) industry was exempted. Overall money in DeFi projects dropped 27% to $48 billion during the first quarter. Ethereum’s dominance in the DeFi space declined to 56% by quarter-end. BTC is now trading at $84,493. Chart: TradingView Related Reading Not everything was negative, though. Stablecoins such as Tether (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC) became more popular with investors seeking a safer bet as the market tanked. Solana also remained in its leadership position, holding 39.6% of all decentralized exchange (DEX) trading during Q1, courtesy mostly of meme coin mania. Even Solana’s leadership, however, started to wane at the end of the period as the meme coin mania declined. The dramatic shift in market sentiment shows how quickly cryptocurrency fortunes can change. After a promising end to 2024, the new year brought a harsh reality check for crypto investors, with nearly $1 trillion in market value disappearing in just three months. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin (BTC) Price in Standstill at $85K as Trump Increases Pressure on Fed’s Powell
Bitcoin (BTC) was treading water just below $85,000 late Thursday as tensions between U.S. President Donald Trump and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell added another layer of uncertainty for investors. Markets dipped on Wednesday after hawkish comments from Powell, who criticized Trump’s tariffs policy, saying that it would likely result in a slowing economy and rising prices — what economists call “stagflation.” In his remarks, Powell made clear his larger focus for now would be on prices, suggesting tighter Fed policy than otherwise thought. Trump — who nominated the former investment banker and lawyer as Fed chair during his first term (Powell was given a second four-year term by President Biden) — has expressed his displeasure with Powell since retaking the White House. Powell, though, who is set to remain atop the central bank until May 2026, has repeatedly stated his determination to finish his term and suggested the president has no standing to fire him. On Thursday, the WSJ reported that Trump has been privately discussing firing Powell for months, according to people familiar with the matter. Former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh is reportedly waiting in the wings as Powell’s replacement, but Warsh has lobbied the president not to move against the Fed chair, according to the story. Joining Warsh in that warning is Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who said the move could roil already shaky U.S. markets as the central bank is supposed to be independent from political influences. Odds of Trump removing Powell this year on the blockchain-based prediction market Polymarket rose to 19%, the highest reading since the contract’s late January launch. Trump’s comments came on the back of the European Central Bank (ECB) cutting key interest rates for the seventh consecutive occasion on Thursday as it warned of a deteriorating growth outlook. More pressure on markets came from the latest Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index, published Thursday morning, which showed a nosedive in activity this month, sinking to its lowest level (-26.4) in two years. Meanwhile, the prices paid index climbed to its highest reading since July 2022, adding to concerns about the Trump administration’s large-scale tariff policy pushing the U.S. economy into stagflation. The S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq stock indexes traded mostly flat during the day. A look at the crypto market showed BTC and Ethereum’s ETH up 0.8% over the past 24 hours. Most assets in the CoinDesk 20 Index traded higher during the day, with bitcoin cash (BCH), NEAR and AAVE leading gains. How bitcoin traders position amid heightened fear on Wall Street ? Bitcoin has stabilized between $83k and $86k with traders chasing bullish bets while still seeking downside protection. On Deribit, traders are actively chasing calls at the 90k to $100k strikes expiring in May and June, the exchange said in a market update Thursday. The demand for calls indicates expectations for a continued price rally. Some of these bullish bets have been funded by premiums collected by selling put options. At the same time, there has been renewed interest in buying put options at $80k expiring this month, representing preparations for potential price declines. Buying a put option is akin to purchasing insurance against price slides. The diverse two-way flow comes as the VIX, Wall Street’s fear gauge measuring the 30-day implied volatility, still remains well above its 50-day average, despite the pullback from recent highs above 50. The VIX is warning that the macro situation is still unraveling rather than resolving, the exchange said on X.
XRP Is The ‘Strongest Chart In Crypto,’ Says Analyst
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. Crypto market analyst Dr Cat (@DoctorCatX) has declared XRP the strongest chart in the entire crypto space, citing Ichimoku Cloud dynamics that currently favor XRP over both Bitcoin and major altcoins such as Ethereum. XRP Is The ‘Strongest Chart’ In a weekly comparison of XRP/USD and BTC/USD, Dr Cat explains that XRP continues to exhibit full bullish structure within the Ichimoku framework. On the weekly chart, XRP is holding above the Kijun-Sen (base line), and the Tenkan-Sen (conversion line) remains above both price and Kijun, maintaining a textbook bullish configuration. The price, marked at $2.09688, has now consolidated for multiple weeks above the Kijun, with no significant violations. XRP Ichimoku analysis | Source: X @DoctorCatX The Ichimoku cloud projected ahead — the Kumo — shows a sharply rising Senkō Span A, forming an upward-sloping top to the cloud that extends into May. Senkō Span B is positioned lower and flat, adding to the positive slope of the cloud. This forward structure typically reflects underlying trend strength. While precise values for these lines are not labelled on the chart, their shape and relative positioning confirm that the cloud is bullishly aligned, with Span A above Span B, and rising — a configuration often preceding strong continuation moves. Related Reading In contrast, the BTC/USD weekly chart presents a more fragile picture. While Bitcoin trades at $84,940, and remains above the Kumo, it has lost the Kijun-Sen, with price slipping below that critical baseline over the last two candles. Moreover, the Tenkan-Sen has crossed beneath the Kijun-Sen, forming a classic bearish crossover. Even if this crossover eventually proves to be a whipsaw, it is technically significant, as Dr Cat notes: “Even if a fake one, it’s a score point for bears that needs to be overcome.” Dr Cat summarizes the contrast across the majors as follows: “Plenty of altcoins are already in a bear market on the weekly, including ETH. BTC is struggling to fight back. But XRP bulls still have full control.” In response to users speculating on timelines, tops, and price targets — some calling for $0.80 retracements, others for new all-time highs imminently — the analyst replied: “By the end of May it should be pretty clear.” Related Reading Dr Cat has also reiterated his medium-term upside target of $4.50 for XRP, suggesting that the setup may culminate in a full-scale breakout attempt toward or beyond the all-time high near $3.84. That move, however, remains contingent on bulls maintaining their current technical advantage. XRP Sets New Record Against Ethereum Additional evidence of XRP’s rising strength comes from independent analyst Dom (@traderview2), who published a historical performance heatmap comparing XRP to ETH on a monthly basis. His data shows that XRP has now outperformed ETH for five consecutive months (entering the six month) — the longest such streak ever recorded. XRP/ETH Monthly Returns | Source: X @traderview2 The outperformance began in November 2024, with XRP gaining +160.4% relative to ETH, followed by +18.5% in December, +47.3% in January, +4.3% in February, +19.6% in March, and +14.3% so far in April 2025. Prior to this run, the longest relative win streak had been four months (June–September 2024), making the current stretch a historical first. The cumulative arithmetic gain across this period exceeds +264%, showcasing a sustained capital rotation toward XRP not seen in prior cycles. While it remains to be seen whether the current strength translates into new highs, XRP’s chart structure is unmatched across major tokens on the weekly timeframe. With a clean bullish alignment, a rising cloud, and dominant relative performance, Dr Cat’s conclusion remains firmly grounded: “XRP bulls still have full control.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.09. XRP trades above key support, 1-day chart | Source: XRPUSDT on TradingView.com Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The Minsky Moment Is Here, Novogratz Sees Trouble Ahead
The “Minsky Moment” is here, according to Mike Novogratz, CEO of Galaxy Digital, in a recent interview on CNBC. Novogratz noted that tariffs are playing a key role in reshaping the global security apparatus, while President Trump’s return to the political scene is introducing fresh uncertainty into the markets. Although equities are down roughly 10% year-to-date, Novogratz believes that’s insufficient given the scale of the global economic shifts underway. “We’re clearly in a risk-off environment,” Novogratz said. Novogratz explained that bitcoin (BTC) typically performs well amid macroeconomic uncertainty unless risk appetite completely evaporates. He outlined two major narratives driving bitcoin: the macro story, reflected in gold’s recent rally, capital flowing out of the U.S. dollar into perceived safe havens; and the adoption story, which remains in its early stages. While institutional and retail adoption is still developing, Novogratz observed that bitcoin is beginning to trade more independently of U.S. equities. Novogratz also warned that the U.S. is starting to behave like an emerging market, a shift not seen in decades. Interest rates are rising while the U.S. dollar weakens an unusual and concerning combination. While, bitcoin and gold are report cards on financial stewardship, Novogratz remarked. Novogratz referenced economist Hyman Minsky and said the U.S. could be approaching a “Minsky Moment,” where deficits and debt levels finally matter. While sovereign nations have long been able to run large deficits without market backlash, that grace period may be ending. According to Novogratz, markets are signaling that the Trump-led policy push is too aggressive and unsustainable. Novogratz pointed to the enormous impact of even modest treasury yield increases on the $35 trillion national debt—saying that a 25 or 50 basis point hike has massive implications, potentially costing more on an annualized basis than major savings programs like the Department of Government Efficiency. Disclaimer: This article, or parts of it, was generated with assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.
Bitcoin, the Digital Gold Some Envisaged, Behaves More Like the AUD-JPY FX Market Risk Gauge
President Donald Trump’s trade war has introduced significant volatility to financial markets since March, prompting investors to chase assets they believe provide a hedge in this turbulent environment. What’s clear: Bitcoin (BTC) is not one of them, much to the dismay of bullish investors who have long thought of the largest cryptocurrency as digital gold either as a store of value or a haven investment. The reality is that since the onset of the trade war, bitcoin has become more closely correlated with the Aussie dollar-yen pair (AUD/JPY), the foreign exchange market’s risk barometer. Data from TradingView show the 90-day correlation coefficient between bitcoin and the AUD/JPY pair flipped positive in late February and has since hit the highest since November 2021. The tit-for-tat tariff war between the two nations has led to a staggering 245% cumulative levy on Chinese imports to the U.S., leading to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reiterating stagflation risks on Wednesday. Bitcoin’s correlations with gold, Australian dollar-yen rate (TradingView) The correlation of 0.80 — the maximum value is 1 — is considered strong, implying that the two variables, BTC and AUD/JPY, are closely related in their movements in the same direction. In contrast, bitcoin’s 90-day correlation with gold flipped negative in late February and has since dropped to -0.80, just above the minimum -1. It means the two are closely related in their movements, but in opposite directions. BTC, a proxy for risk The Australian dollar, being China-sensitive and the home currency of a commodity-exporting nation, is seen as a risk currency. The yen is a safe haven because Japan has been a net international creditor for decades with near-zero interest rates. When global markets are optimistic and commodity demand rises, the AUD typically appreciates, reflecting a higher risk appetite among investors and the yen drops. The opposite holds true when they become risk-averse. Traders, therefore, monitor AUD/JPY as a risk indicator, viewing uptrends as positive signs for risk assets like stocks, and vice versa. Bitcoin, which was already emerging in a comparable role, has strengthened its position. The correlation data indicates that BTC is now as much a proxy for risk sentiment as AUD/JPY.
Bitcoin’s Futures Sentiment Weakens, Is The Ongoing Recovery Running Out of Steam?
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. Bitcoin’s upward momentum appears to be slowing down following a recovery phase earlier this week. After climbing close to $86,000, BTC has retraced slightly, hovering just above the $84,000 mark at the time of writing. The mild pullback comes after a 10% rise seen over the past seven days, which helped the asset recover from recent corrections triggered by macroeconomic pressures. While the price movement may suggest a healthy retracement or consolidation phase, market sentiment tells a more complex story. According to CryptoQuant contributor abramchart, futures sentiment has not mirrored the price surge, indicating caution among derivative traders. This divergence between price action and market sentiment could suggest growing uncertainty or a broader shift in investor behavior. Related Reading Bitcoin Futures Sentiment Signals Cooling Conviction In his recent post titled “Weakening Futures Sentiment Signals Caution Amid Bitcoin Rally,” abramchart explained how sentiment indicators have not kept pace with BTC’s recent price movements. From November 2024 through early 2025, Bitcoin experienced strong gains, but the futures sentiment index peaked early and has since been declining steadily. Despite prices staying relatively high, the index now trends near the support zone around 0.4, suggesting increased bearish sentiment. Bitcoin Futures Sentiment Index. | Source: CryptoQuant The sentiment index’s resistance is historically around 0.8, with support near 0.2. According to abramchart, the index hovering closer to support may reflect ongoing profit-taking, growing macroeconomic uncertainty, or investor hesitation around regulatory developments. He also noted that Bitcoin’s average trading range between $70K and $80K suggests possible accumulation rather than strong directional conviction. If sentiment continues to linger at current levels, further consolidation or downside action may be expected in the absence of strong bullish catalysts. Weakening Futures Sentiment Signals “The chart shows that while Bitcoin reached significant highs, futures sentiment weakened, which can be a warning signal of potential retracement or at least a lack of strong bullish conviction.” – By @abramchart pic.twitter.com/zzSmUJsQ8Y — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) April 16, 2025 Binance Derivatives Show Bullish Signs Returning In contrast to the cautious sentiment observed in the broader futures market, activity on Binance derivatives is showing signs of renewed optimism. Another CryptoQuant analyst, Darkfost, highlighted a shift in the Binance taker buy/sell ratio—a metric used to measure which side, buyers or sellers, is dominating trading volume on the exchange’s derivatives platform. According to Darkfost, the 30-day exponential moving average of this ratio had remained below 1 for much of 2025, indicating sustained bearish sentiment. Binance taker buy/sell ratio. | Source: CryptoQuant However, recent readings show a return to neutral territory, with bullish activity picking up. The ratio trending above 1 indicates buyer dominance, and current data suggests that long traders are becoming more active again. Related Reading Although this doesn’t guarantee a market reversal, it may signal short-term momentum returning in favor of bulls, especially on trading venues like Binance that play a key role in crypto price discovery. BTC price is moving upwards on the 2-hour chart. Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView.com Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin Price Holds Steady, But Futures Sentiment Signals Caution – Details
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, while Bitcoin (BTC) has seen a steady rise in price from November 2024 to February 2025, sentiment in the cryptocurrency’s futures market has not shown a corresponding uptick. Bitcoin Futures Sentiment Index Signals Caution Bitcoin’s price surged from approximately $74,000 in November 2024 to a peak of $101,000 by early February 2025. However, following US President Donald Trump’s tariff announcements, risk-on assets – including BTC -have experienced a significant pullback. Related Reading After hitting a potential local bottom of $74,508 earlier this month on April 6, the apex cryptocurrency has recovered some of its recent losses. The top digital asset is trading in the mid $80,000 range at the time of writing. Despite this recovery, BTC’s futures sentiment has continued to decline since February. Even as the price holds near local highs, sentiment in the futures market has notably cooled. CryptoQuant contributor abramchart highlighted this divergence, noting that it could indicate increasing caution or profit-taking behavior despite the ongoing bullish trend. The analyst commented: This indicates a cooling interest or increased fear in the futures market, possibly due to macroeconomic uncertainty, regulatory concerns, or expected corrections. A look at the BTC futures sentiment index shows a resistance zone around 0.8 and a support level near 0.2. The index is currently hovering around 0.4, pointing to a predominantly bearish sentiment across futures markets. The BTC Futures Sentiment Index currently hovers around 0.4 | Source: CryptoQuant Similarly, Bitcoin’s average price has steadily declined from its early 2025 highs. It is now ranging between $70,000 and $80,000, signalling possible market indecision amid heightened tariff tensions. According to abramchart, if futures sentiment remains low, BTC could face extended price consolidation or even downward pressure in the near term. However, any emerging bullish catalyst could quickly shift the sentiment and renew upward momentum. Is BTC Close To A Momentum Shift? Some analysts believe Bitcoin may be nearing a breakout. After consolidating in the mid-$80,000s for several weeks, on-chain metrics suggest BTC may be undervalued at current levels. Indicators such as BTC exchange reserves and the Stablecoin Supply Ratio support this view. Related Reading In addition, momentum indicators like Bitcoin’s weekly Relative Strength Index have begun to break out of a long-standing downward trendline – raising hopes for a potential bullish rally back toward $100,000. However, several risks still remain. The recent appearance of a ‘death cross’ on BTC’s price chart – combined with persistent macroeconomic concerns related to trade tariffs – could still weigh heavily on market sentiment. At press time, BTC trades at $83,917, down 1.8% over the past 24 hours. BTC trades at $83,917 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
Bitcoin Price Range-Bound—But a Move Higher May Be Brewing?
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. Bitcoin price started a fresh decline below the $85,500 zone. BTC is now consolidating and might attempt to clear the $85,200 resistance zone. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $85,500 zone. The price is trading below $85,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $84,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it clears the $85,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Eyes Fresh Increase Bitcoin price struggled near the $86,500 zone and started a fresh decline. BTC declined below the $85,500 and $85,000 levels to enter a short-term bearish zone. The price tested the $83,200 support. A low was formed at $83,171 and the price recently corrected some losses. There was a move above the $83,800 level. The price surpassed the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $86,401 swing high to the $83,171 low. Bitcoin price is now trading below $85,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $84,750 level. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $84,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The first key resistance is near the $85,150 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $86,401 swing high to the $83,171 low. The next key resistance could be $85,500. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com A close above the $85,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $85,800 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $86,400 level. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $85,000 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $83,900 level. The first major support is near the $83,200 level. The next support is now near the $82,200 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $81,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $80,800. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now near the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $83,200, followed by $82,200. Major Resistance Levels – $84,750 and $85,150.
Why Did Bitcoin Price (BTC) Fall on Wednesday Afternoon
A modest bitcoin rally to a possible challenge of the $86,000 level quickly reversed during U.S. afternoon trading hours on Wednesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell warned on the effects of President Trump’s tariff regime. “The level of the tariff increases announced so far is significantly larger than anticipated,” said Powell in a speech. “The same is likely to be true of the economic effects, which will include higher inflation and slower growth.” In other words, stagflation — a throwback to a sizable portion of the 1970s when the U.S. experienced weak economic activity alongside double-digit inflation. “We may find ourselves in the challenging scenario in which our dual-mandate goals are in tension,” continued Powell. The price of bitcoin (BTC) fell about 2.5% in the minutes following the Powell remarks, now trading at $83,700, down 1.5% over the past 24 hours. U.S. stocks, which had been trying to mount a comeback from opening declines, also were hit, the Nasdaq slumping 3.4% to a session low. Powell also mentioned that as crypto is becoming more mainstream, there’s a need for a legal framework for stablecoins. He said that banking regulation around crypto will likely be “partially relaxed.” The U.S. Senate Banking Committee cleared a bill to regulate stablecoin issuers in March, marking the first committee approval and a significant step closer to law in the U.S. Hawkish Fed weighs on crypto and BTC “Powell came out extremely hawkish,” Quinn Thompson, chief investment officer of hedge fund Lekker Capital, said in a Telegram message. It’s notable that Powell downplayed last week’s market turmoil characterizing it as “orderly market functioning,” he added. “I would have at least expected him to give a nod to the elevated volatility and ruptures forming in the treasury market but he did not do that,” Thompson said. Powell’s tone suggests that investors should temper their expectations for rate cuts in the upcoming meetings, said Thompson, which could weigh on risk assets including crypto. “It appears a May cut is firmly off the table barring Fed intervention for bad reasons and I wouldn’t say June is a lock either,” concluded Thompson. “The bull case for crypto and bitcoin specifically is liquidity and policymaker intervention. Both of those seemed very far off based, so it’s difficult for me to paint a constructive picture in the immediate term.” UPDATE (April 16, 18:40 UTC): Adds additional comments made by Chair Powell about stablecoins. Adds analyst comment.
Bitcoin Price Following Analyst’s Prediction For Bullish Breakout, Here’s The Target
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. The Bitcoin price appears to be moving in lockstep with a bullish prediction made by a crypto analyst earlier this month. According to the analyst’s forecast, Bitcoin is set to break out to a new all-time high above $120,000 following the announcement of a temporary tariff pause by United States (US) President Donald Trump. $120,000 Bitcoin Price Forecast In Motion Kaduna, a crypto analyst on X (formerly Twitter), has released a follow-up analysis on his previous bullish prediction of Bitcoin, highlighting that it is playing out as expected. On April 11, the analyst predicted that Bitcoin was preparing for a massive push above $120,000. Related Reading He outlined a thesis that the 90-day suspension of President Trump’s Tariffs would act as a powerful macroeconomic catalyst for Bitcoin. Kaduna argued that the market may start “frontrunning” about a month early, culminating in a mini bull market during a 55-day “exit window” between April 3 and June 3 2025. Accompanying this bullish analysis was a detailed chart comparing Bitcoin’s price movements through candlesticks with a blue overlay, believed to represent a macroeconomic indicator such as global M2. The blue line in the chart projects a steady climb during this window, offering a clear visual target above $120,000. Kaduna had stated that if his prediction played out, he would exit most positions by the end of the window. Just days after his bullish forecast, Bitcoin has begun mirroring the projected path. Kaduna revealed in a follow-up candlestick chart that Bitcoin is breaking above the local resistance at $84,000 with strong volume support, aligning with the predicted overlay. This early strength suggests that the frontrunning behaviour the crypto expert projected earlier is now playing out in real time. Source: Kaduna on X The blue line suggests a potential move toward the $120,000 – $125,000 range over the next month and a half, setting a clear upside target if momentum continues. Bitcoin’s price action is also unfolding right on cue within the 55-day window, validating the analyst’s bullish thesis. Both the overlay and Bitcoin’s prices are trending upwards, signaling that the market is indeed reacting to the macroeconomic tariff catalyst. If this trajectory holds, it would mark a significant validation of the analyst’s macro-technical analysis approach. Update On The Bitcoin Price Action Following its crash below $80,000, the Bitcoin price seems to be on a path to recovery. CoinMarketCap’s data reveals that Bitcoin is currently trading at $83,395, marking a significant 7.16% increase over the past week. Related Reading The cryptocurrency had broken the resistance level at $84,000 earlier this week. However, it retraced sold gains and is now trading at its present market value. Given its fluctuating price and unstable market, crypto analysts like Tony Severino have revealed that he is neither bullish nor bearish on Bitcoin. Instead, he seems to be taking a wait-and-see approach, closely monitoring how the market responds to ongoing volatility driven by the US Trade war and tariff implementation. BTC trading at $83,865 on the 1D chart | Source: XRPUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Could 1,000 XRP Buy You Happiness? This Analyst Thinks So
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. Some cryptocurrency enthusiasts are making eye-catching predictions about XRP. They suggest that buying just 1,000 tokens could set investors up for life by the end of this decade. Related Reading Online Influencers Push Optimistic XRP Price Targets Based on social media comments, XRP supporter Duefe recently asserted that holding 1,000 coins could be sufficient to gain “a joyful and free life” by 2029. This is a remarkable prediction based on prices now. Based on today’s price of $2.17 per token, 1,000 XRP would be worth $2,170. For this modest investment to equal $1 million – a figure many believe is required for early retirement – every XRP would have to reach $1,000. This kind of expansion would necessitate a price increase of more than 45,900% from where they are today. 1000 XRP is enough for a joyful and free life. Just hold until 2029.$XRP — Duefe (@cryptoshab) April 14, 2025 Other voices within the XRP universe concur. Edo Farina, one of the best-known advocates, has gone so far as labeling the choice to not hold a minimum of 1,000 XRP as “insanity,” according to reports from within the crypto space. Not owning at LEAST 1,000 $XRP is the definition of insanity. 🔗 Full Video: https://t.co/hWuxKcPx6E pic.twitter.com/j05yZ4ei6Q — EDO FARINA 🅧 XRP (@edward_farina) March 17, 2025 Wallet Data Shows Limited Distribution Statistics from the XRP Rich List indicate that a mere 230,500 wallets now hold between 500 and 1,000 units. Of the 6.38 million total wallets out there, only 10% (approximately 638,000) have 2,500 tokens or more. These statistics indicate that if such astronomical price rises did happen, the wealth would be in the hands of a relatively small number of early adopters. XRP is currently trading at $2.04. Chart: TradingView Price Projections Differ Considerably Among Experts Not every prediction sets its sights as high as $1,000 per token. Some estimate XRP could hit at least $25 by 2029. Although this is well below the $1,000 it would take to convert 1,000 XRP into $1 million, it would still be a return of about 1,000% above today’s price. Others think the $1,000 price could be achieved, but within a longer timeframe of around a decade. Related Reading Source: CoinCarp XRP Holder Count Steady At 4.81 Million Over The Past Month Meanwhile, the count of XRP holders on the mainnet has been incredibly stable between March 18 and April 15, staying close to the 4.81 million mark based on data from CoinCarp. The stability indicates that investor sentiment for XRP has been stable, with no indication of large-scale accumulation or large-scale exits. In the face of market uncertainty or price oscillations in the same time frame, holders of XRP seem to be holding steady, perhaps indicative of faith in the long-term value of the token or a wait-and-see attitude among retail and institutional players alike. Data also indicates a more mature base of holders who are not responding irrationally to short-term price swings. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView