MicroStrategy Could Be Forced To Dump Bitcoin Under These Circumstances, Michael Saylor Responds
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. MicroStrategy, the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, has long embodied the boldest institutional bet on the cryptocurrency. Co-founder and chairman Michael Saylor’s unwavering belief in Bitcoin has defined the company’s strategy for years. However, that strategy now faces a challenge after a recent SEC filing hinted at the possibility of MicroStrategy being forced to liquidate some of its Bitcoin holdings under financial pressure and the recent Bitcoin price crash. The implications could ripple beyond the company’s balance sheet and affect Bitcoin’s broader market. Mounting Debt, Negative Cash Flow, And The Bitcoin Lifeline MicroStrategy disclosed several important financial vulnerabilities in a recent Form 8-K filed with the SEC. At the time of filing, the firm reported holding 528,185 BTC, acquired at an average purchase price of $67,458 per Bitcoin, for a total cost basis of approximately $35.63 billion. However, despite the massive size of its Bitcoin treasury, MicroStrategy admitted that its core enterprise software business has not been generating positive operational cash flow. The company is also shouldering $8.22 billion in debt and facing an annual contractual interest burden of $35.1 million. Related Reading Although it has issued over $1.6 billion in preferred stock tied to substantial annual dividend obligations of $146.2 million, these liabilities are not being met. Instead, MicroStrategy explicitly outlined that it expects to rely on debt or equity financing to meet its obligations, and those efforts may become severely strained if Bitcoin’s price sharply declines. The report warns that if the market value of its holdings drops significantly, it could negatively affect the firm’s ability to raise funds. In such a situation, the company might be forced to sell Bitcoin at a loss. At the time the report was filed, BTC was trading just 13% above the company’s average purchase price. Because Bitcoin forms the majority of MicroStrategy’s assets, its balance sheet is intimately tied to the crypto’s price. As such, a dip below that level could create a chain reaction of falling stock prices and ultimately force selling pressure even on the price of Bitcoin itself. Michael Saylor’s Response: Staying The Course Michael Saylor, MicroStrategy’s co-founder and former CEO, is one of the biggest proponents of Bitcoin and was influential in the company’s adoption of a Bitcoin strategy. Taking to social media platform X after the news of the report broke out, Saylor simply tweeted: “HODL,” a popular mantra among crypto purists that signals long-term conviction. Related Reading The post has had over 1.4 million views on the platform and resonated with many bullish proponents, as seen in the comments section. He followed that with another tweet: “Bitcoin is the Best Idea. There is no Second Best.” At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $81,900, up by 6% in the past 24 hours. Even if MicroStrategy were to sell any Bitcoin at this point, it wouldn’t be the first sale of its holdings. Back on December 22, 2022, MicroStrategy sold 704 BTC for $11.8 million under similar circumstances. BTC trading at $81,681 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum Price Dump: Is Donald Trump’s World Liberty Finance Behind The Crash To $1,400?
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. The Ethereum price crash to $1,400 has shaken the crypto market, amplifying already volatile conditions. This dramatic price drop comes after a major ETH sell-off by US President Donald Trump’s World Liberty Finance, suggesting that the recent dump may have been a primary catalyst behind ETH’s price collapse. Blockchain analytics platform Lookonchain revealed on April 9 via X (formerly Twitter) that the wallet associated with World Liberty Finance, a decentralized finance protocol linked to Trump, recently dumped a significant amount of Ethereum. Interestingly, this sell-off came just before Ethereum’s price crash, raising the question of whether it contributed to the unexpected decline. Donald Trump‘s World Liberty Finance Dumps ETH Launched in 2024, World Liberty Finance is Trump’s controversial digital asset firm designed to rival centralized banking and facilitate the adoption of stablecoins. According to data from Lookonchain, Trump’s World Liberty Finance, which was previously accumulating Ethereum at a low price, is now selling off a large chunk of its holding at a steep loss. Related Reading Lookonchain flagged the transaction, noting that the wallet linked to World Liberty Finance had offloaded 5,471 ETH tokens worth roughly $8.01 million. The sell-off was executed at a price of $1,465 per ETH, a significant drop from its previous value of over $1,600. Notably, World Liberty Finance’s ETH sell-off move has raised eyebrows across the crypto community. It appears to mark a shift in strategy for a player who was previously known for large-scale ETH accumulation. According to Lookonchain, the wallet address linked to World Liberty Finance had accumulated a total of 67,498 ETH at an average price of $3,259. This means that the decentralized finance protocol spent a total of $210 million to amass such a large amount of ETH. At its sell-off price, this leaves the entity sitting on a staggering unrealized loss of around $125 million. The recent sell-off also adds more fuel to the growing uncertainty surrounding Ethereum’s future outlook, as the cryptocurrency’s recent price crash has sparked even more bearish predictions of continued decline. Although the reason behind World Liberty Finance’s unexpected ETH sell-off remains unclear, some believe that the dump was likely triggered by Ethereum’s ongoing price decline, while others suggest it could signal a market bottom. Ethereum Price Crash To $1,400 Ethereum’s price decline to $1,400 came as a shock to the market, making it the first time the cryptocurrency had fallen so low in seven years. Notably, Ethereum was not the only leading cryptocurrency that was affected by the market turmoil, as big players like Bitcoin also suffered losses. Related Reading Currently, Ethereum seems to be recovering slightly from its previous low and is now trading at $1,591 after jumping 7.44%. Although this recovery brings hope of a rebound, the cryptocurrency’s value has still dropped by 16.63% over the past month. Moreover, technical indicators from CoinCodex highlight that sentiment surrounding the cryptocurrency is still deeply bearish, suggesting that further declines could be on the horizon. ETH trading at $1,596 on the 1D chart | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
This Crypto Analyst Predicted The Bitcoin Price Crash At $97,000, He Just Released Another Forecast
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. Bitcoin’s price crash from $97,000 in late February surprised most crypto market participants but not this analyst. The crypto analyst known as Doctor Profit, who previously warned of a correction when Bitcoin was approaching $97,000, recently released a new technical outlook that dissuades a bullish trajectory in the short term. In a breakdown shared on the social media platform X, Doctor Profit noted that the breakdown isn’t complete yet. This outlook comes from a former detailed analysis in which the analyst highlighted various Bitcoin price movements to watch out for, all of which have come to pass. Doctor Profit Says Bitcoin Market Dump Is Just Beginning Bitcoin has experienced ups and downs in the past few days with incredibly volatile movements. These ups and downs saw the Bitcoin price fall below $75,000 at the beginning of the week before spending the past four days on a recovery path towards $80,000. Amidst the price volatility, crypto analyst Doctor Profit clarified that he expects the current downward move in Bitcoin’s price to extend further. Related Reading In a recent post on social media platform X, the analyst described the correction as a “market massacre” that is expected to continue, stating that the party just started. He revealed that he had placed his first buy orders within the $58,000 to $68,000 range, suggesting that the Bitcoin price would keep falling until it reaches this region. Source: Doctor Profit on X Rather than seeing the recent decline as a setback, the price action is a calculated part of the broader strategy which the analyst laid out in an earlier detailed analysis. Doctor Profit’s analysis is based on the M2 money supply, a macroeconomic metric he believes is widely misunderstood within the crypto space. Many traders have recently cited the uptick in M2 as a bullish signal for Bitcoin, assuming that more liquidity means an immediate surge in prices. However, the analyst stressed that timing is everything. He noted that Bitcoin tends to front-run traditional markets when responding to M2 increases, but even then, the reaction is not instantaneous. What To Expect With BTC He reminds his followers that in July 2024, he predicted a 50bps rate cut, which was considered highly unlikely at the time. Once that cut materialized in September, around the same time Bitcoin was hovering near $50,000, he labeled it extremely bullish and called for a major rally. As it turned out, the M2 money supply began expanding in February 2025, which aligned with his forecast. Yet, he cautions that while M2 is now climbing, its effect on Bitcoin will play out gradually. Related Reading Looking at Bitcoin’s price behavior on the charts, Doctor Profit shifted his focus to the $70,000 to $74,000 range. He believes this range could either serve as a springboard for a fresh upward rally if a strong daily close occurs above the “Golden Line” around the weekly EMA50 or as a signal for a deeper downside if the price breaks beneath it. Should a more dramatic breakdown occur, the analyst advised scaling back and waiting for even lower entries around the $50,000 to $60,000 zone. Doctor Profit predicted that the bull run will not resume until sometime around May or June, with upside targets of $120,000 to $140,000. Bitcoin has managed to push above $81,000 after Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause on his ground-breaking tarriffs. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $82,000, up by 7% in the past 24 hours. BTC trading at $82,068 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin Price Crash: Crypto Analyst Reveals What Would Reject Current Bearish Hypothesis
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. Since Bitcoin failed to hold above the $100,000 psychological barrier earlier this year, its bullish momentum has gradually unraveled. The pullback has deepened over the past two months, with Bitcoin trading between $75,000 and $79,000 in April. The bullish prospect is becoming very weak, and the crypto sector is searching for technical clarity amidst a buildup of pressure across traditional markets, especially with equities. Given the situation, crypto analyst Tony Severino noted that the current setup offers one major move that could invalidate an extended bearish momentum. Tony “The Bull” Identifies Important LMACD Inflection Point To Reject Bearish Hypothesis According to Tony “The Bull” Severino, the most important chart development is the incoming bearish crossover on Bitcoin’s 1-month LMACD indicator. The LMACD, which tracks market momentum on a logarithmic scale, currently shows the blue line drifting toward a crossover beneath the orange signal line. Related Reading: Crypto CEO Reveals Why The Bitcoin Bull Market Is Over With Crash Below $80,000 This kind of intending crossover is known to be an important bearish confirmation, and its appearance has coincided with growing weakness across broader markets, including traditional indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Source: Tony Severino on X Although the crossover has not yet been confirmed by a monthly close, its presence at the open of April is enough to stir concern. Severino explained that unless a significant rally occurs before the end of the month, the blue line will cross below the orange line, and momentum will officially turn bearish. If the month closes with the crossover intact, it will mark the first confirmed bearish momentum shift on the LMACD since the bullish reversal in July 2023. Bitcoin Bulls Still Have A Window To Flip The Outlook Before April Ends According to Tony Severino, this crossover is not the sole reason for leaning bearish on Bitcoin’s medium-term trajectory, but it stands out as the most precise technical marker that could trigger a rethink. The crossover isn’t isolated to the Bitcoin price chart. Severino highlighted that the same bearish crossover was already confirmed last month in major indices like the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100. Interestingly, the crossover has already shown up in the BTCUSD versus GOLD chart, further supporting the idea that Bitcoin is no longer moving in isolation but reacting to widespread macro pressures. Related Reading Despite the bearish tilt, the situation is not yet final. The current crossover is provisional, meaning there’s still time for bulls to reverse the signal. A powerful upward move this month could cause the blue LMACD line to diverge higher, reestablish upward momentum and invalidate the bearish setup before it solidifies. The analyst also noted this possibility of a rebound considering the current oversold levels. This is because oversold technical conditions generally creates the kind of environment where a dramatic reversal is possible. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $77,260, down by 2.23% and 8.93% in the past 24 hours and seven days, respectively. BTC trading at $76,376 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
Is $74,000 The Bottom For Bitcoin? CMT-Certified Analyst Says $38,000-$42,000 Is Coming
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. The Bitcoin (BTC) price crash to $74,000 has left traders speculating whether the cryptocurrency has finally hit a bottom. However, a CMT-certified analyst suggests that Bitcoin’s price correction is far from over. He has predicted an even deeper pullback to $38,000 – $42,000, which he identifies as Bitcoin’s final price bottom. In a detailed Elliott Wave-based chart analysis, CMT-certified technical analyst Tony Severino outlines a classic 5-wave impulsive structure that appears to have completed its final leg near $85,000. Severino’s analysis highlights that Bitcoin’s latest decline to $74,000 is merely the start of a broader ABC corrective pattern, potentially driving the cryptocurrency down to a bottom in the range of $38,000 – $42,000. New Bitcoin Price Bottom Incoming In Bitcoin’s 5-wave impulse structure, Wave 1 began with a sharp bear market low, followed by Wave 2, a corrective pullback. Wave 3 marked the strongest upward move, subdivided into five smaller waves (i to v). After the market paused briefly for a pullback in Wave 4, Wave 5 kicked off with a final push toward a peak near $85,000. Related Reading Following the top of Wave 5, Bitcoin’s ABC corrective structure began, marked by the red line on the chart. According to the analyst, the cryptocurrency is currently completing Wave A of this corrective pattern, which is expected to bottom out near $62,000 – $65,000 by June 2025. This price range coincides with the previous main correction zone around Wave 4, which is a common target for Wave A retracements. Source: Tony Severino on X Notably, a bigger concern comes after Bitcoin’s possible crash to $65,000 – $62,000. The analyst anticipates a short-lived bounce in Wave B, followed by a more pronounced decline in Wave C. This downturn is expected to push the Bitcoin price to its final bottom target between $38,000 and $42,000 by April 2026. This pullback target further aligns with the iv sub-wave of Wave 3, which often serves as a key retracement zone during market corrections. Severino has confirmed through his technical analysis that the market is now in a bear phase. His price chart incorporates cyclical timing models, marking a complete market cycle characterized by a bull market peak in 2025, followed by a bear market extending into mid-2026. This timeline is consistent with Bitcoin’s typical four-year halving cycle, where the market reaches its peak the year after the halving event before entering a bear market phase. Analyst Flags Death Cross In BTC’s Chart According to reports from BarChart on X, Bitcoin has just formed a Death Cross on its price chart for the first time since September 2024. A Death Cross occurs when the 50 Moving Average (MA) crosses below the 200 MA. Related Reading This distinct chart pattern is often considered a bearish sign, indicating that a potential downtrend might be on the horizon. Considering Bitcoin’s price has declined to $78,900 at press time, the appearance of a Death Cross indicates a possibility of further breakdown and consolidation. BTC trading at $79,046 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin Price Mirrors Global M2 As Crypto Analyst Reveals May Timeline For “Blast Off”
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. Bitcoin’s price movement is starting to look positive after a brief stretch of crashes on Sunday and Monday. After breaking down to $74,000 on Monday, bearish momentum looked ready to drag Bitcoin’s price down further. However, bulls quickly stepped in to defend the dip. Their aggressive buying has pushed the price back up, with Bitcoin now moving towards the $80,000 level again. This recent crash is interesting because it aligns almost perfectly with a high-telling metric. This metric not only foreshadowed the crash, but it is now pointing to a powerful upward move for the next Bitcoin rally. Analyst Says Global M2 Is A Leading Signal For Bitcoin’s Next Move Colin, a well-followed crypto analyst on X, recently drew attention to Bitcoin’s relationship with the global M2 money supply. Taking to social media platform X, the analyst shared a chart showing Bitcoin’s price correlation with the Global M2 Money Supply, although with a 108-day offset. It almost looks like the Global M2 Money Supply is working as a template for Bitcoin’s price action, as the leading cryptocurrency has been tracing this offest almost step by step since August 2024. Related Reading In his latest post, Colin explained that Bitcoin continues to “follow Global M2 like glue.” The chart he shared overlays Bitcoin’s candlestick movements with a yellow line representing the M2 supply offset by that duration. The result is a striking correlation that Colin has consistently tracked for over a year. BTC’s similar performance with Global M2 | Source: Colin on X The chart below highlights what Colin labeled a mini-rally that failed and another crash, which has played out just as M2 had predicted. Now, with Bitcoin starting April with this crash, the M2 indicator suggests that it could very well blast off anytime soon. However, Colin noted that the price could consolidate further or experience minor dips before the anticipated rally. The analyst noted that the leading cryptocurrency is not fully out of the woods. But if lucky, it will be mostly sideways from here until the blastoff shown by the M2, which is not until May. May Blast-Off? BTC’s Rally Setup Strengthens Despite Short-Term Crash Colin’s forecast is based on the idea that Bitcoin could begin a major upward move by early May, which he called a May “blast-off.” The yellow M2 projection curve on his chart shows a steep climb ahead starting from May 1, indicating the possibility of Bitcoin rallying toward $128,000 if the correlation remains intact. Related Reading However, the analyst did not forgo the short-term risks that Bitcoin and the entire crypto market might face in April. These short-term risks are based on policy concerns regarding the “Trump tariffs,” which have set the investing markets ablaze in the past few days. The coming weeks will be important for the outcome of this blastoff. Should it hold above the $78,000–$80,000 level while maintaining alignment with the Global M2 Money Supply, May could usher in the parabolic move Colin is hinting at. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $79,255, up by 5.5% in the past 24 hours. BTC trading at $79,073 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto Analyst Warns Of Volume Drop That Could Trigger 60% Bitcoin Price Crash To $49,000
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. Crypto analyst Melika Trader has warned of a volume drop that could trigger a 60% Bitcoin price crash. The analyst provided an in-depth analysis of what this price crash could mean and if it would mark the end of the bull run. How The Bitcoin Price Could Crash By 60% And Drop To $49,000 In a TradingView post, Melika Trader revealed how the Bitcoin price could crash by 60% and drop to $49,000. The analyst noted that BTC is hanging just above a critical support zone, an area he claimed many traders recognize as the “most important support level” from a volume perspective on Binance. Related Reading His accompanying chart showed that the Bitcoin price could suffer a 60% drop once it loses the former trend line at $75,000. The flagship crypto is also in danger, having lost the critical support at around $83,000. This drop to $49,000 would bring BTC back toward the high-volume range near $30,000. This provides an ultra-bearish outlook for the Bitcoin price. However, Melika Trader raised a twist, stating that only 20% of traders might actually lose. He noted that, according to Binance’s volume profile data, the majority of buying activity and position accumulation happened below $35,000. Source: Melika Trader on Tradingview The analyst further mentioned that most long-term holders and smart money entered during the 2022/2023 accumulation range. The Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) is also said to show significant support below the current Bitcoin price, with minimal trading volume at higher levels. Melika Trader remarked that only a minority of traders bought BTC during its late-stage bull run above $70,000. Meanwhile, the majority of investors are still in profit or break-even, even if the Bitcoin price retraces back to its base. As such, most traders are safe, as BTC risks a drop to as low as $49,000. Why BTC’s Bull Market Is Over CryptoQuant’s CEO, Ki Young Ju, recently asserted that BTC’s bull market is over amid the Bitcoin price decline. He alluded to the ‘Realized Cap’ metric to explain his confidence that the bull run is over. The CryptoQuant CEO noted that if Realized Cap is growing but Market Cap is stagnant or falling, it means capital is flowing in but prices aren’t rising. Related Reading Ki Young Ju noted that this is a clear bearish signal, and this is what is currently happening. Capital is entering the market right now, but the Bitcoin price isn’t responding, which he claims is typical of a bear market. The CryptoQuant CEO explained that even large purchases like MicroStrategy’s aren’t pushing prices up because there is too much sell pressure at the moment. Ki Young Ju again affirmed that current data points to the Bitcoin price being in a bear market. He noted that sell pressure could ease anytime but warned that historically, real reversals take at least six months. As such, the CryptoQuant CEO believes a short-term rally seems unlikely. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $77,000, down over 7% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. BTC trading at $75,967 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
Understanding Bitcoin Struggles: Why Realized Cap Indicates A Bear Market
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. As Bitcoin (BTC), the market’s leading cryptocurrency, continues to trend lower, recent insights from industry experts highlight critical factors influencing BTC’s trajectory. According to Ki Young Ju, CEO of market intelligence firm CryptoQuant, the current Bitcoin bull cycle may be coming to an end. This assertion is grounded in the concept of Realized Cap, a metric that quantifies the actual capital entering the BTC market through on-chain activity. Insights From Ki Young Ju For context, the Realized Cap metric operates on a straightforward premise: when Bitcoin enters a wallet, it represents a purchase, and when it leaves, it signifies a sale. By calculating the average cost basis for each wallet and multiplying it by the amount of BTC held, Ju derives the total Realized Cap. This metric reflects the total capital that has genuinely entered the BTC ecosystem, contrasting sharply with market capitalization, which is determined by the last traded price on exchanges. Related Reading BTC’s market cap vs realized cap chart. Source: Ki Young Ju on X A common misconception, according to Ju, is that a small purchase, such as $10 worth of Bitcoin, only increases market capitalization by that same amount. In reality, prices are influenced by the balance of buy and sell orders on the order book. Low sell pressure means that even modest buys can significantly elevate prices and, consequently, market cap. This phenomenon was notably exploited by MicroStrategy (MSTR), which issued convertible bonds to acquire Bitcoin, thereby inflating the paper value of its holdings far beyond the initial capital deployed. Key Price Levels For Bitcoin Currently, Bitcoin appears to be in a challenging position, dropping below the key $80,000 mark. When sell pressure is high, even substantial purchases fail to affect prices, as seen when Bitcoin traded near its all-time high of nearly $100,000. Despite massive trading volumes, the price remained stagnant. Ju points out that if Realized Cap is increasing but market cap is either flat or declining, it signals a bearish trend. This indicates that while capital is entering the market, it is not translating into price appreciation—a hallmark of a bear market. Conversely, if market capitalization is rising while Realized Cap remains stable, it suggests that even minimal new investment is driving prices up, indicative of a bull market. Presently, data suggests that Bitcoin is experiencing the former scenario: capital is flowing in, but prices are not responding positively. Historically, significant market reversals require at least six months to manifest, making a short-term rally seem unlikely. Related Reading Adding to the complexity, market expert Ali Martinez has identified key resistance levels that Bitcoin must overcome to regain upward momentum. Notably, there is a major resistance cluster at $87,000, where the 50-day moving average, 200-day moving average, and a descending trendline from the all-time high converge. For Bitcoin to resume its upward trajectory, the expert asserts that BTC must break through critical resistance points at $85,470 and $92,950. Additionally, support at $80,450 remains vital; failure to hold this level could lead to further declines. The daily chart shows BTC’s price drop on Sunday below the key $80,000 mark. Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com As of now, the leading cryptocurrency trades at $78,379, recording a 6% decline on Sunday. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto Analyst Warns Bitcoin Price Could See Further Crash If It Falls Below This Level
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. Crypto analyst Pejman has warned that the Bitcoin price could witness a further crash in the short term. He revealed the level the flagship crypto needs to hold to avoid these “heavy declines.” Bitcoin Price Could Witness Further Crash If It Falls Below This Level In a TradingView post, Pejman stated that the Bitcoin price could record heavy declines if it falls below $83,500. This warning came following a bullish analysis in which he remarked that BTC seems to be completing the bullish flag pattern. The analyst added that he expects the flagship crypto to rally to the upside as it looks to fill the CME gap at the $86,000 range. Related Reading This eventually happened as the Bitcoin price rallied to as high as $88,000 amid the massive volatility that occurred following Trump’s reciprocal tariffs announcement. However, Pejman suggested that the rally to $88,000 is likely the local top for BTC, stating that there is a possibility that Bitcoin will fall again following this price surge. Source: Pejman on Tradingview Moreover, the Bitcoin price has since corrected following the rally to $88,000. This price crash occurred as Trump unveiled the customized tariff rates for countries such as China, the European Union, the United Kingdom, and Japan. This move from the US president is expected to trigger a trade war, with these countries retaliating with counter-tariffs, which is bearish for BTC and the broader crypto market. BTC Could Still Drop To As Low As $78,000 Based on crypto analyst Kevin Capital’s analysis, the Bitcoin price could soon drop to as low as $78,000. The analyst noted that there is a little bit of long liquidity at the $78,000 to $80,000 level, but there is also a lot of liquidity in the $87,000 to $90,000 range. Related Reading He further remarked that market makers could look to transact in that $87,000 to $90,000 range just before Trump’s tariff announcement, which happened as predicted. With the Bitcoin price sucking up the liquidty at the $87,000 to $90,000 range, it looks likely to drop to the $78,000 to $80,000 range to also suck up the liquidity at that range. Despite the Bitcoin price’s downtrend over the past two months, crypto analyst Rekt Capital is still bullish on the flagship crypto’s trajectory. He noted that BTC experienced a 32% downtrend from mid-March 2024 to early September 2024, a pullback that lasted almost six months before its price broke to new all-time highs (ATHs). As such, the analyst suggested this downtrend is nothing to worry about as BTC could still rally to new highs in a flash. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $83,000, down over 1% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. BTC trading at $83,567 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
Why Buying Bitcoin Now Is Better Than Later As BTC Price Consolidates Within Falling Wedge
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. Bitcoin’s price correction over the past week has caused mixed emotions among investors, with some indicators pointing to possible further declines. However, according to one analyst, the current phase could represent the last opportunity to buy before the next major rally. Popular crypto analyst Captain Faibik, posting on social media platform X, believes that Bitcoin is ready for a bullish breakout as it continues to consolidate within a technical pattern that typically precedes upward movement. Falling Wedge Pattern Hints At Incoming Bullish Breakout Technical analysis of the Bitcoin daily candlestick timeframe chart shows that the leading cryptocurrency has been consolidating inside a falling wedge for nearly four months. This falling wedge pattern, known in technical analysis for its bullish implications, began in December 2024 and encompassed the period from its all-time high in January until the intense correction in March. Related Reading After peaking at around $88,500 early last week, Bitcoin spent the entire week on a gradual pullback, reaching a low of $81,300. Interestingly, Captain Faibik interprets this decline as a healthy consolidation rather than a bearish reversal, saying that the correction phase is now nearing its end. He noted that the wedge pattern suggests a breakout is due at the beginning of April and that this breakout could drive the Bitcoin price towards a new all-time high at the end of the month. BTC to blasts off to $109,000 | Source: Captain Faibik on X The analyst predicted that the Bitcoin price would trade around $109,000 at the end of the month. If realized, this forecast would not only surpass the current all-time high of $108,786 but also affirm that the correction that played out throughout March was building toward a continuation of the broader bull cycle. Bitcoin has declined over the last two months, with February ending with a 17.5% decline and March ending with a 2.19% decline from its month-open. As such, Bitcoin closing the month around $109,000 will also mark the end of the prolonged correction trend. Whale Accumulation Increases But Retail Investors Are Hesitant The difference in behavior towards Bitcoin between experienced investors and newcomers is becoming more visible. Captain Faibik pointed out that large investors have been actively accumulating Bitcoin over the past few weeks, which typically precedes significant upward price action. This is revealed through an interesting metric from on-chain analytics platform Santiment, which shows that over 30,000 BTC were withdrawn from crypto exchanges last week. Related Reading At the same time, many retail investors are on the sidelines, expecting further dips before making entries. The fact that whales are not waiting for lower prices is a strong vote of confidence in Bitcoin’s near-term trajectory. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $83,500, up by a modest 1.9% gain in the past 24 hours but still sitting 23.3% below its all-time high set in January. BTC trading at $84,300 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
Warning: Bitcoin And Altcoins Fischer Transform Indicator Turn Bearish For The First Time Since 2021
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. Technical expert Tony Severino has warned that the Bitcoin and altcoins Fischer Transform indicator has flipped bearish for the first time since 2021. The analyst also revealed the implications of this development and how exactly it could impact these crypto assets. Bitcoin And Altcoins Fischer Transform Indicator Turns Bearish In an X post, Severino revealed that the total crypto market cap 12-week Fisher Transform has flipped bearish for the first time since December 2021. Before then, the indicator had flipped bearish in January 2018. In 2021 and 2018, the total crypto market cap dropped 66% and 82%, respectively. This provides a bearish outlook for Bitcoin and altcoins, suggesting they could suffer a massive crash soon enough. Related Reading In another X post, the technical expert revealed that Bitcoin’s 12-week Fischer Transform has also flipped bearish. Severino noted that this indicator converts prices into a Gaussian normal distribution to smooth out price data and filter out noise. In the process, it helps generate clear signals that help pinpoint major market turning points. Source: Tony Severino on X Severino asserted that this indicator on the 12-week timeframe has never missed a top or bottom call, indicating that Bitcoin and altcoins may have indeed topped out. The expert has been warning for a while now that the Bitcoin top might be in and that a massive crash could be on the horizon for the flagship crypto. He recently alluded to the Elliott Wave Theory and market cycles to explain why he is no longer bullish on Bitcoin and altcoins. He also highlighted other indicators, such as the Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse) and Average Directional Index (ADX), to show that BTC’s bullish momentum is fading. The expert also warned that a sell signal could send BTC into a Supertrend DownTrend, with the flagship crypto dropping to as low as $22,000. A Different Perspective For BTC Crypto analyst Kevin Capital has provided a different perspective on Bitcoin’s price action. While noting that BTC is in a correctional phase, he affirmed that it will soon be over. Kevin Capital claimed that the question is not whether this phase will end. Instead, it is about how strong Bitcoin’s bounce will be and whether the flagship crypto will make new highs or record a lackluster lower high followed by a bear market. Related Reading The analyst added that Bitcoin’s price action when that time comes will also be trackable using other methods, such as money flow, macro fundamentals, and overall spot volume. The major focus is on the macro fundamentals as market participants look forward to Donald Trump’s much-anticipated reciprocal tariffs, which will be announced tomorrow. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $83,000, up around 1% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. BTC trading at $84,308 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
Arthur Hayes Predicts $250,000 Bitcoin As Fed Caves To QE Pressure
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. In a new essay published on March 31, former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes lays out a case for a $250,000 Bitcoin price target by year-end, grounded in his belief that the US Federal Reserve has effectively capitulated to fiscal dominance and resumed de facto quantitative easing (QE) for US Treasury markets. The essay, laced with vivid satire and underpinned by rigorous macroeconomic analysis, argues that the Fed’s recent shift in policy signals a structural return to fiat liquidity expansion—an environment historically beneficial to Bitcoin and other hard assets. “Powell proved last week that fiscal dominance is alive and well,” Hayes wrote. “Therefore, I am confident QT, at least regarding treasuries, will stop in the short to medium term… Bitcoin will scream higher once this is formally announced.” QE Returns, Fiat Dies, Bitcoin Flies Hayes centers his argument on the Federal Reserve’s March FOMC meeting, during which Chair Jerome Powell suggested that balance sheet reduction—or Quantitative Tightening (QT)—would slow considerably. Powell stated: “We strongly want the MBS [mortgage-backed securities] to roll off our balance sheet at some point. We would look closely at letting the MBS roll off but keep the overall balance sheet size constant.” Related Reading This policy configuration, dubbed “QT Twist” by Hayes, implies that the Fed will reinvest MBS runoff proceeds into US Treasuries, thereby supporting bond prices while holding the nominal balance sheet steady. Hayes characterizes this as “treasury QE,” even if not labeled as such. “If the Fed balance sheet is kept constant, then they can buy: Max $35 billion per month of treasuries or annualized $420 billion,” Hayes calculated. In addition, the tapering of Treasury QT from $25 billion to $5 billion per month represents an annualized $240 billion positive shift in dollar liquidity. To frame the Fed’s political constraints, Hayes invoked a satirical dialogue in which Powell is subjected to humiliation by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent—a fictionalized dramatization that underscores the subordination of monetary policy to fiscal necessity. In this theatrical allegory, Powell is told by Bessent: “Next week at the FOMC, you are going to start tapering QT for my treasury bonds and announce that QE for treasury bonds will start in the near future. Do you understand?” Hayes reinforces his point by drawing historical parallels to Arthur Burns, Fed Chair during the inflationary 1970s, who admitted in his 1979 speech “The Anguish of Central Banking” that political pressure rendered the Fed powerless to stop inflation. Burns wrote: “The Federal Reserve was itself caught up in the philosophic and political currents that were transforming American life and culture… Monetary policy came to be governed by the principle of under-nourishing the inflationary process while still accommodating a good part of the pressures in the marketplace.” Related Reading Hayes sees the same dynamic today, intensified by the government’s ballooning debt burden and the need to finance deficits at low yields. Trump’s Policy Agenda Hayes ties the Fed’s pivot to the political realities of a second Trump administration, particularly its industrial policy goals. Trump has pledged to reduce the US fiscal deficit from 7% to 3% of GDP by 2028, while reshoring manufacturing, sustaining military spending, and avoiding cuts to entitlements. However, Hayes argues that these objectives are mathematically incompatible without central bank support, given the scale of debt issuance required. “The maths don’t add up unless Bessent can find a buyer of treasuries at an uneconomically high price or low yield. Only US commercial banks and the Fed have the firepower to buy the debt at a level the government can afford.” To unlock that capacity, Hayes anticipates the Fed will not only halt QT but also exempt banks from the Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR)—a key regulatory constraint limiting bank purchases of U.S. Treasuries. Bessent himself hinted at such a move on the All-In Podcast, stating: “If we take [SLR] away… we might actually pull treasury bill yields down by 30 to 70 basis points. Every basis point is a billion dollars a year.” Hayes maintains that Bitcoin is uniquely positioned to benefit from this shift in monetary regime. Unlike equities, which are entangled in the legal and political architecture of the state, Bitcoin is a bearer instrument native to the digital realm, with no counterparty risk. “Bitcoin trades solely based on the market expectation for the future supply of fiat,” he wrote. “If my analysis… is correct, then Bitcoin hit a local low of $76,500 last month, and now we begin the ascent to $250,000 by year-end.” Referencing gold’s reaction to QE1 in 2008–2009, Hayes highlights how liquidity injections can lead to delayed but explosive repricing of anti-fiat assets. In his view, Bitcoin is now playing the same role gold once did—only faster and with more direct global exposure. Hayes also offered insight into Maelstrom’s capital deployment approach. “We use no leverage, and we buy in small clips relative to the size of our total portfolio,” he said. “We have been buying Bitcoin and shitcoins at all levels between $90,000 to $76,500.” At press time, BTC traded at $83,500. Bitcoin needs to break above the 0.236 Fib, 1-day chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com Featured image from YouTube, chart from TradingView.com