Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Show Conviction: 63% Of Supply Hasn’t Moved In A Year
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. Bitcoin is facing a crucial test as its price continues to swing without clear direction, navigating a tense and uncertain macroeconomic environment. While volatility persists, many analysts believe the worst phase of the correction may be over. After dropping over 30% from its all-time high, Bitcoin has managed to hold above key support levels, reinforcing short-term optimism. Related Reading However, global tensions—driven by escalating trade disputes and aggressive tariff policies from the US—are shaking financial markets. The specter of a global recession looms large, making investors cautious across both traditional and digital asset classes. Despite the noise, on-chain data from Glassnode adds a layer of optimism. According to their latest analysis, 63% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply has not moved in at least one year. This historic level of dormant supply highlights the growing conviction among long-term holders, who are weathering the current volatility without panic. Such behavior reinforces the belief that Bitcoin’s foundation remains solid, even as short-term traders exit the market. The strong hands are holding firm, and their resilience could lay the groundwork for the next major move—once macroeconomic conditions begin to stabilize. Bitcoin Holds Strong Amid Global Volatility: Rising Long-Term Conviction Massive price swings continue to shake both crypto and equities markets as volatility intensifies in response to rising global tensions and unresolved macroeconomic threats. Bitcoin, however, has held strong above the $81K level, suggesting that a potential recovery may be taking shape. The 90-day pause on U.S. tariffs—excluding China—offered temporary relief, but uncertainty still dominates investor sentiment. Ongoing trade conflicts between the United States and China threaten global economic stability, with many analysts warning of a potential recession if no resolution is reached. These fears are weighing heavily on risk assets across the board. Despite the challenging backdrop, Bitcoin’s performance suggests underlying resilience. Bulls are gradually regaining momentum after the recent sharp correction, and many market watchers believe the worst phase of the drawdown may be over. Adding to the optimism, top analyst Quinten Francois shared Glassnode data revealing that 63% of the Bitcoin supply has not moved in at least a year. This metric, often associated with strong long-term conviction, shows that the majority of Bitcoin holders are choosing to hold through volatility rather than sell into weakness. It reflects a maturing investor base with confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value, even amid global uncertainty. Bitcoin Percent of Supply Last Active 1+ Years Ago | Source: Quinten Francois on X If current support levels continue to hold and macro conditions stabilize, Bitcoin may be on the verge of a sustained recovery. Related Reading BTC Price Stalls Below Key Resistance After Bullish Surge Bitcoin is currently trading at $82,600 following a strong surge that helped the asset recover from recent lows. The move has brought some short-term optimism to the market, especially as BTC managed to reclaim the $81K level—a key support zone that now needs to hold for bullish momentum to continue. BTC testing the 4-hour 200 MA | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView However, significant resistance lies ahead. The price stopped near the 4-hour 200 Moving Average, currently sitting around $83,500. This technical level has consistently acted as a short-term barrier since Bitcoin lost the $100K mark, and bulls need a decisive breakout above it to confirm the beginning of a true reversal. If Bitcoin can break and hold above $83,500, the next immediate target is the $85K zone. Reclaiming that range could open the path for a push toward the $88K–$90K resistance band and potentially resume the longer-term uptrend. Related Reading On the flip side, failing to hold above $81K would signal weakness and likely invite renewed selling pressure. A breakdown below $80K would reinforce bearish sentiment, possibly triggering a fresh wave of panic selling and sending BTC back toward the $75K support zone. Bulls must act quickly to defend current levels and push higher. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Trump’s Tariff Pause Could Push Bitcoin Price Above $100,000, Pundit Reveals Exit Point
Donald Trump’s decision to enact a 90-day pause on his tariffs sent a new wave of buying pressure across the crypto markets, with Bitcoin pushing past the $80,000 price level again. Although the wave of buying pressure is now starting to cool down, the bullish sentiment has already been enacted among some market participants. The question is now on whether this is enough to push Bitcoin back into the $100,000 threshold during this pause period. Tariff Pause Can Push Bitcoin Towards $100,000 The bullish consensus is that Bitcoin might have created a price bottom during its price crash after the tariffs were initially announced. Crypto analyst Kaduna shared a detailed outlook following another tariff announcement, noting that a “mini bull market” is now in motion. This mini bull market which he noted is in reaction to Bitcoin’s price surge from $75,200 to $83,200 in the hours after Donald Trump announced a pause on the US tariffs against imports into the US from countries except China. With this surge in mind, analyst Kaduna noted in a post on social media platform X that this rapid market reaction might result in a front-running behavior that could begin as early as a month before the 90-day window ends. According to his analysis, the bull run being teased with the global M2 liquidity could begin very early, at least a month earlier than thought. This front running, in turn, could push the price of Bitcoin higher during a 55-day exit window for bullish traders. Interestingly, the global M2 liquidity suggests that any next push from here will be a very strong one that will send the Bitcoin price back above $100,000 and even much more above this level. Analyst Reveals Exit Point Kaduna’s outlook is not only focused on the upside potential but also on timing a strategic exit should the market rally unfold as expected. In his social media post, he revealed that it would be prudent to exit most positions during the next 55-day window between April and June 3, which he believes will capture the peak of this bull phase. After exiting, he would step back from the market and reevaluate conditions later in the summer to scale back in. Interestingly, the global M2 liquidity suggests that the Bitcoin price can rise from its current price level to reach as high as $120,000 within this time period before any major correction. Such a move will send Bitcoin trading at new price peaks, as it would necessitate a break above its current all-time high of $108,786. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $81,341.
Bitcoin Dominance: BTC’s MVRV Outpaces ETH’s For Record 812 Days
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio is currently on a record streak against the metric for Ethereum. Bitcoin Has Continued To Dominate Ethereum In MVRV Recently In its latest weekly report, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed about the divergence forming between Bitcoin and Ethereum. First, below is a chart that shows how the two cryptocurrencies have compared in terms of the Realized Cap growth since the start of the bull cycle. The “Realized Cap” here refers to an indicator that measures the total amount of capital that the investors of a given asset as a whole have invested into it. Changes in this metric, therefore, reflect the amount of capital going in/out of the cryptocurrency. From the graph, it’s visible that Bitcoin has observed a massive increase of $468 billion in the Realized Cap since the bear market bottom back in November 2022. In this same window, Ethereum has seen inflows amounting to only $61 billion. As the analytics firm explains, This disparity in capital inflows between the two assets partly underscores why these assets have experienced diverging performance since 2023. Ethereum has experienced a relatively smaller inflow of demand and fresh capital this cycle, which has resulted in weaker price appreciation and a lack of a fresh ATH, despite Bitcoin prices reaching over $100k in December. Divergence between the assets has also formed in another metric: the MVRV Ratio. This indicator keeps track of the ratio between the Market Cap of an asset and its Realized Cap. Since the Market Cap represents the value the holders are carrying in the present, its comparison against the Realized Cap in the MVRV Ratio tells us about the profit-loss status of the investors as a whole. As is visible in the above graph, Bitcoin’s MVRV Ratio diverged from Ethereum’s around the start of the bull market. This implies that BTC investors have consistently enjoyed a higher amount of unrealized profits in this cycle. In the recent market downturn so far, ETH has taken a larger hit than BTC, so its MVRV Ratio has also declined at a faster rate. BTC investors as a whole are still in the green, but ETH holders are now underwater as the indicator for it has dipped under the 1 mark. To better showcase the disparity in the MVRV Ratio of the two coins, Glassnode has charted the difference between the two. As displayed in the graph, the difference between the Bitcoin and Ethereum MVRV Ratio has remained positive for 812 consecutive days now, which is the longest streak in history. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $79,300, down over 3% in the last seven days.
Analyst Compares Trump’s Market Impact to Obama Era as Bitcoin Sees Momentum
Meet Samuel Edyme, Nickname – HIM-buktu. A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others. Edyme’s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis. Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events—like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ’s arrest—has honed his keen sense of market dynamics. When he isn’t crafting engaging crypto content, you’ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he’s catching some Z’s or scrolling through Elon Musk’s very own X platform—(oops, another screen activity, my bad…) Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters—(don’t judge, that’s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or “kaizen,” striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, “God knows best” and “Everything is still on track,” reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life. In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He’s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck—unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet—bold. He’s the guy who’d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point—(uhhh…). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent—okay, maybe that’s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps. Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That’s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF’s “Clouds” that resonate deeply with him: “What you think’s probably unfeasible, I’ve done already a hundredfold.” PS—Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He’s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.
Kaiko Report Highlights Key Drivers of Q1 Crypto Market Decline and Outlook for Q2
Meet Samuel Edyme, Nickname – HIM-buktu. A web3 content writer, journalist, and aspiring trader, Edyme is as versatile as they come. With a knack for words and a nose for trends, he has penned pieces for numerous industry player, including AMBCrypto, Blockchain.News, and Blockchain Reporter, among others. Edyme’s foray into the crypto universe is nothing short of cinematic. His journey began not with a triumphant investment, but with a scam. Yes, a Ponzi scheme that used crypto as payment roped him in. Rather than retreating, he emerged wiser and more determined, channeling his experience into over three years of insightful market analysis. Before becoming the voice of reason in the crypto space, Edyme was the quintessential crypto degen. He aped into anything that promised a quick buck, anything ape-able, learning the ropes the hard way. These hands-on experience through major market events—like the Terra Luna crash, the wave of bankruptcies in crypto firms, the notorious FTX collapse, and even CZ’s arrest—has honed his keen sense of market dynamics. When he isn’t crafting engaging crypto content, you’ll find Edyme backtesting charts, studying both forex and synthetic indices. His dedication to mastering the art of trading is as relentless as his pursuit of the next big story. Away from his screens, he can be found in the gym, airpods in, working out and listening to his favorite artist, NF. Or maybe he’s catching some Z’s or scrolling through Elon Musk’s very own X platform—(oops, another screen activity, my bad…) Well, being an introvert, Edyme thrives in the digital realm, preferring online interaction over offline encounters—(don’t judge, that’s just how he is built). His determination is quite unwavering to be honest, and he embodies the philosophy of continuous improvement, or “kaizen,” striving to be 1% better every day. His mantras, “God knows best” and “Everything is still on track,” reflect his resilient outlook and how he lives his life. In a nutshell, Samuel Edyme was born efficient, driven by ambition, and perhaps a touch fierce. He’s neither artistic nor unrealistic, and certainly not chauvinistic. Think of him as Bruce Willis in a train wreck—unflappable. Edyme is like trading in your car for a jet—bold. He’s the guy who’d ask his boss for a pay cut just to prove a point—(uhhh…). He is like watching your kid take his first steps. Imagine Bill Gates struggling with rent—okay, maybe that’s a stretch, but you get the idea, yeah. Unbelievable? Yes. Inconceivable? Perhaps. Edyme sees himself as a fairly reasonable guy, albeit a bit stubborn. Normal to you is not to him. He is not the one to take the easy road, and why would he? That’s just not the way he roll. He has these favorite lyrics from NF’s “Clouds” that resonate deeply with him: “What you think’s probably unfeasible, I’ve done already a hundredfold.” PS—Edyme is HIM. HIM-buktu. Him-mulation. Him-Kardashian. Himon and Pumba. He even had his DNA tested, and guess what? He’s 100% Him-alayan. Screw it, he ate the opp.
Bitcoin Holds The Line—But Can It Bounce Back or Break Lower?
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above the $80,000 zone. BTC is now correcting gains and might struggle to stay above the $79,500 support. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $80,000 zone. The price is trading above $79,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a new connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $80,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it clears the $80,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Again Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above the $77,500 zone. BTC formed a base and gained pace for a move above the $79,500 and $80,000 resistance levels. The bulls pumped the price above the $82,500 resistance. A high was formed at $83,548 and the price recently started a downside correction. There was a move below the $81,500 support. The price dipped below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $74,572 swing low to the $83,548 high. Bitcoin price is now trading above $79,200 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $80,500 level. There is also a new connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $80,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com The first key resistance is near the $81,500 level. The next key resistance could be $82,500. A close above the $82,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $83,500 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $85,000 level. More Losses In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $80,500 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. Immediate support on the downside is near the $79,500 level. The first major support is near the $79,000 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $74,572 swing low to the $83,548 high. The next support is now near the $78,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $76,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $75,000. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $79,500, followed by $79,000. Major Resistance Levels – $80,500 and $81,500.
MicroStrategy Could Be Forced To Dump Bitcoin Under These Circumstances, Michael Saylor Responds
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. MicroStrategy, the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, has long embodied the boldest institutional bet on the cryptocurrency. Co-founder and chairman Michael Saylor’s unwavering belief in Bitcoin has defined the company’s strategy for years. However, that strategy now faces a challenge after a recent SEC filing hinted at the possibility of MicroStrategy being forced to liquidate some of its Bitcoin holdings under financial pressure and the recent Bitcoin price crash. The implications could ripple beyond the company’s balance sheet and affect Bitcoin’s broader market. Mounting Debt, Negative Cash Flow, And The Bitcoin Lifeline MicroStrategy disclosed several important financial vulnerabilities in a recent Form 8-K filed with the SEC. At the time of filing, the firm reported holding 528,185 BTC, acquired at an average purchase price of $67,458 per Bitcoin, for a total cost basis of approximately $35.63 billion. However, despite the massive size of its Bitcoin treasury, MicroStrategy admitted that its core enterprise software business has not been generating positive operational cash flow. The company is also shouldering $8.22 billion in debt and facing an annual contractual interest burden of $35.1 million. Related Reading Although it has issued over $1.6 billion in preferred stock tied to substantial annual dividend obligations of $146.2 million, these liabilities are not being met. Instead, MicroStrategy explicitly outlined that it expects to rely on debt or equity financing to meet its obligations, and those efforts may become severely strained if Bitcoin’s price sharply declines. The report warns that if the market value of its holdings drops significantly, it could negatively affect the firm’s ability to raise funds. In such a situation, the company might be forced to sell Bitcoin at a loss. At the time the report was filed, BTC was trading just 13% above the company’s average purchase price. Because Bitcoin forms the majority of MicroStrategy’s assets, its balance sheet is intimately tied to the crypto’s price. As such, a dip below that level could create a chain reaction of falling stock prices and ultimately force selling pressure even on the price of Bitcoin itself. Michael Saylor’s Response: Staying The Course Michael Saylor, MicroStrategy’s co-founder and former CEO, is one of the biggest proponents of Bitcoin and was influential in the company’s adoption of a Bitcoin strategy. Taking to social media platform X after the news of the report broke out, Saylor simply tweeted: “HODL,” a popular mantra among crypto purists that signals long-term conviction. Related Reading The post has had over 1.4 million views on the platform and resonated with many bullish proponents, as seen in the comments section. He followed that with another tweet: “Bitcoin is the Best Idea. There is no Second Best.” At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $81,900, up by 6% in the past 24 hours. Even if MicroStrategy were to sell any Bitcoin at this point, it wouldn’t be the first sale of its holdings. Back on December 22, 2022, MicroStrategy sold 704 BTC for $11.8 million under similar circumstances. BTC trading at $81,681 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum Price Dump: Is Donald Trump’s World Liberty Finance Behind The Crash To $1,400?
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. The Ethereum price crash to $1,400 has shaken the crypto market, amplifying already volatile conditions. This dramatic price drop comes after a major ETH sell-off by US President Donald Trump’s World Liberty Finance, suggesting that the recent dump may have been a primary catalyst behind ETH’s price collapse. Blockchain analytics platform Lookonchain revealed on April 9 via X (formerly Twitter) that the wallet associated with World Liberty Finance, a decentralized finance protocol linked to Trump, recently dumped a significant amount of Ethereum. Interestingly, this sell-off came just before Ethereum’s price crash, raising the question of whether it contributed to the unexpected decline. Donald Trump‘s World Liberty Finance Dumps ETH Launched in 2024, World Liberty Finance is Trump’s controversial digital asset firm designed to rival centralized banking and facilitate the adoption of stablecoins. According to data from Lookonchain, Trump’s World Liberty Finance, which was previously accumulating Ethereum at a low price, is now selling off a large chunk of its holding at a steep loss. Related Reading Lookonchain flagged the transaction, noting that the wallet linked to World Liberty Finance had offloaded 5,471 ETH tokens worth roughly $8.01 million. The sell-off was executed at a price of $1,465 per ETH, a significant drop from its previous value of over $1,600. Notably, World Liberty Finance’s ETH sell-off move has raised eyebrows across the crypto community. It appears to mark a shift in strategy for a player who was previously known for large-scale ETH accumulation. According to Lookonchain, the wallet address linked to World Liberty Finance had accumulated a total of 67,498 ETH at an average price of $3,259. This means that the decentralized finance protocol spent a total of $210 million to amass such a large amount of ETH. At its sell-off price, this leaves the entity sitting on a staggering unrealized loss of around $125 million. The recent sell-off also adds more fuel to the growing uncertainty surrounding Ethereum’s future outlook, as the cryptocurrency’s recent price crash has sparked even more bearish predictions of continued decline. Although the reason behind World Liberty Finance’s unexpected ETH sell-off remains unclear, some believe that the dump was likely triggered by Ethereum’s ongoing price decline, while others suggest it could signal a market bottom. Ethereum Price Crash To $1,400 Ethereum’s price decline to $1,400 came as a shock to the market, making it the first time the cryptocurrency had fallen so low in seven years. Notably, Ethereum was not the only leading cryptocurrency that was affected by the market turmoil, as big players like Bitcoin also suffered losses. Related Reading Currently, Ethereum seems to be recovering slightly from its previous low and is now trading at $1,591 after jumping 7.44%. Although this recovery brings hope of a rebound, the cryptocurrency’s value has still dropped by 16.63% over the past month. Moreover, technical indicators from CoinCodex highlight that sentiment surrounding the cryptocurrency is still deeply bearish, suggesting that further declines could be on the horizon. ETH trading at $1,596 on the 1D chart | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
This Crypto Analyst Predicted The Bitcoin Price Crash At $97,000, He Just Released Another Forecast
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. Bitcoin’s price crash from $97,000 in late February surprised most crypto market participants but not this analyst. The crypto analyst known as Doctor Profit, who previously warned of a correction when Bitcoin was approaching $97,000, recently released a new technical outlook that dissuades a bullish trajectory in the short term. In a breakdown shared on the social media platform X, Doctor Profit noted that the breakdown isn’t complete yet. This outlook comes from a former detailed analysis in which the analyst highlighted various Bitcoin price movements to watch out for, all of which have come to pass. Doctor Profit Says Bitcoin Market Dump Is Just Beginning Bitcoin has experienced ups and downs in the past few days with incredibly volatile movements. These ups and downs saw the Bitcoin price fall below $75,000 at the beginning of the week before spending the past four days on a recovery path towards $80,000. Amidst the price volatility, crypto analyst Doctor Profit clarified that he expects the current downward move in Bitcoin’s price to extend further. Related Reading In a recent post on social media platform X, the analyst described the correction as a “market massacre” that is expected to continue, stating that the party just started. He revealed that he had placed his first buy orders within the $58,000 to $68,000 range, suggesting that the Bitcoin price would keep falling until it reaches this region. Source: Doctor Profit on X Rather than seeing the recent decline as a setback, the price action is a calculated part of the broader strategy which the analyst laid out in an earlier detailed analysis. Doctor Profit’s analysis is based on the M2 money supply, a macroeconomic metric he believes is widely misunderstood within the crypto space. Many traders have recently cited the uptick in M2 as a bullish signal for Bitcoin, assuming that more liquidity means an immediate surge in prices. However, the analyst stressed that timing is everything. He noted that Bitcoin tends to front-run traditional markets when responding to M2 increases, but even then, the reaction is not instantaneous. What To Expect With BTC He reminds his followers that in July 2024, he predicted a 50bps rate cut, which was considered highly unlikely at the time. Once that cut materialized in September, around the same time Bitcoin was hovering near $50,000, he labeled it extremely bullish and called for a major rally. As it turned out, the M2 money supply began expanding in February 2025, which aligned with his forecast. Yet, he cautions that while M2 is now climbing, its effect on Bitcoin will play out gradually. Related Reading Looking at Bitcoin’s price behavior on the charts, Doctor Profit shifted his focus to the $70,000 to $74,000 range. He believes this range could either serve as a springboard for a fresh upward rally if a strong daily close occurs above the “Golden Line” around the weekly EMA50 or as a signal for a deeper downside if the price breaks beneath it. Should a more dramatic breakdown occur, the analyst advised scaling back and waiting for even lower entries around the $50,000 to $60,000 zone. Doctor Profit predicted that the bull run will not resume until sometime around May or June, with upside targets of $120,000 to $140,000. Bitcoin has managed to push above $81,000 after Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause on his ground-breaking tarriffs. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $82,000, up by 7% in the past 24 hours. BTC trading at $82,068 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin Battles Tariff Turmoil: Can the 2-Year Realized Price Hold the Line?
Bitcoin has felt the impact of the ongoing global tariff tensions, with little to no upward momentum. The asset appears to have paused its bull run, dampening investor expectations for a near-term recovery. Currently trading just above $77,000, BTC has declined nearly 30% from its all-time high, including a 1.6% drop in the last 24 hours. Amid this, a recent insight from CryptoQuant contributor Onchained suggests that Bitcoin is nearing a significant threshold that could determine the asset’s next major direction. Bitcoin Realized Price Levels in Focus Onchained’s latest analysis points to the convergence of Bitcoin’s spot price with its 2-Year Realized Price. This metric, derived from on-chain data, calculates the average acquisition cost of coins moved on the blockchain within the past two years. This price band often serves as a meaningful support level, particularly in transition phases between bear and bull markets. Historically, Bitcoin maintaining price action above the 2-year Realized Price has signaled underlying strength among long-term holders. Onchained noted that BTC has stayed above this line since October 2023, a sign of sustained investor confidence. If Bitcoin continues to hold this level, it may indicate the establishment of a new value floor, potentially setting the stage for renewed buying pressure. The analysis adds that a bounce off this support zone could be interpreted as an influx of capital from investors seeing this price level as a strategic accumulation point. However, a breakdown below the 2-year Realized Price could trigger a deeper correction or a longer period of consolidation. Long Liquidations Amplify Market Volatility In a separate update, CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost highlighted a significant event that shook the derivatives market. On April 6, the largest Bitcoin long liquidation event of the current bull cycle occurred, wiping out roughly 7,500 BTC in long positions. The liquidation marked the highest daily volume of forced long position closures since the bull market began. According to Darkfost, this event was largely triggered by rising volatility and uncertainty stemming from US economic policy concerns. The biggest Bitcoin long liquidation event of this bull cycle “On April 6, approximately 7,500 Bitcoin in long positions were liquidated, marking the biggest single-day long wipeout of the entire bull run so far.” – By @Darkfost_Coc Read more https://t.co/eqW2JE8TWD pic.twitter.com/IEthwRDRVz — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) April 9, 2025 In particular, fears around new tariffs under President Trump’s administration have added pressure on global markets, including crypto. The analyst emphasized that such liquidation events serve as reminders of the risks associated with high-leverage positions during uncertain macroeconomic conditions. Darkfost wrote: This is a clear reminder that we need to stay cautious during periods of rising volatility like today. This is the time to care and preserve your capital. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin Ownership Patterns Shift Amid Price Correction
Bitcoin is currently trading at $76,899, marking a 3.7% decline in the past 24 hours and a 29.4% drop from its all-time high above $109,000 recorded in January. After falling below $80,000 on Sunday, the digital asset has struggled to reclaim upward momentum, reflecting persistent selling pressure in the broader crypto market. While price action continues to dominate headlines, on-chain data reveals deeper shifts in market dynamics. A recent analysis by CryptoQuant contributor Onchained highlights a notable transition in Bitcoin ownership patterns. Bitcoin Short-Term Losses and Long-Term Accumulation In the post titled “Short-Term Capitulation Meets Long-Term Conviction: A Structural Shift in Bitcoin Ownership,” the analyst identified structural changes between short-term and long-term holders, providing insights into the asset’s underlying market behavior. According to the insight, Bitcoin has seen a ~15% drawdown from $88,000 to $74,400 over the past week. On April 7, Short-Term Holders (STH) realized a significant $10 billion drop in their realized cap—a metric reflecting the price at which coins were last moved—marking their largest single-day loss of the cycle. This decline was met with an almost equivalent $9.7 billion increase in Long-Term Holders’ (LTH) realized cap, suggesting a substantial transfer of coins from recent buyers to more experienced holders. By April 8, realized losses from STHs declined to $693 million, indicating a possible exhaustion of panic selling. In contrast, LTHs continued increasing their cost basis by an additional $1.13 billion, reflecting ongoing accumulation despite minimal price recovery. Onchained interprets this as a typical sign of supply transitioning from weaker hands to those with higher conviction, which has historically occurred near market bottoms or early recovery stages. The analyst noted: “This is not merely a coincidence: this is the market transferring coins from weak to strong hands.” Adding: Long-term investors are stepping in with conviction: buying weakness and absorbing supply. – This behavior has historically marked the late stages of corrections or the early phase of recovery. Potential Impact on Market Structure This divergence between STH and LTH behavior may hold broader implications for Bitcoin’s market structure. As STHs reduce their holdings, potential short-term sell pressure and overhead resistance may decline. At the same time, rising accumulation by LTHs suggests confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term prospects, even amid current volatility. Historically, similar patterns have preceded stabilization or trend reversals. A shrinking supply in the hands of reactive traders coupled with consistent buying by long-term participants can form the foundation for renewed price support. Whether this shift signals the end of the current correction or an early stage of recovery remains to be confirmed, but on-chain trends continue to suggest meaningful repositioning within the Bitcoin market. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin Rallies After Trump Pauses Tariff—Crypto Markets Cheer the Move
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above the $80,000 zone. BTC is now consolidating gains and might correct some to test the $80,500 zone. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $80,000 zone. The price is trading above $80,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $78,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it clears the $83,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Jumps Over 5% Bitcoin price started a fresh increase from the $74,500 zone. BTC formed a base and gained pace for a move above the $78,500 and $80,000 resistance levels. The bulls pumped the price above the $80,500 resistance. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $78,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair even cleared the $82,500 resistance zone. A high was formed at $83,548 and the price is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $74,572 swing low to the $83,548 high. Bitcoin price is now trading above $80,200 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $83,200 level. The first key resistance is near the $83,500 level. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com The next key resistance could be $84,500. A close above the $84,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $85,800 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $88,000 level. Are Dips Supported In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $83,500 resistance zone, it could start a downside correction. Immediate support on the downside is near the $81,400 level. The first major support is near the $80,500 level. The next support is now near the $79,500 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $74,572 swing low to the $83,548 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $78,000 support in the near term. The main support sits at $75,000. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $81,400, followed by $80,500. Major Resistance Levels – $83,500 and $84,500.