Ethereum Long-Term Holders Show Signs Of Capitulation – Prime Accumulation Zone?
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. Ethereum saw a dramatic turnaround this week, bouncing over 21% from its recent low of $1,380 in just hours. The sharp recovery came in response to an unexpected shift in macroeconomic policy: US President Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for all countries—except China, which now faces a steep 125% tariff. The news sent a ripple through global markets, sparking a short-term rally in risk assets, including crypto. Related Reading Ethereum, which had been under heavy selling pressure for weeks, appears to have found temporary relief. According to Glassnode data, long-term Ethereum holders are starting to fold, offloading positions at a loss after months of decline. Historically, these moments of long-term holder capitulation have often marked bottoming phases and preceded meaningful rebounds. While short-term volatility remains elevated, some analysts view this setup as a potential opportunity zone, especially for contrarian investors looking to accumulate during peak fear. The market now watches to see if ETH can hold its gains or if broader uncertainty will drag prices back down. One thing is clear: the next few days could be pivotal for Ethereum’s trend heading into the second half of 2025. Ethereum Finds Relief Amid Chaos, But Market Remains On Edge Ethereum is now at a pivotal crossroads after enduring weeks of relentless selling pressure and uncertainty. The recent surge from sub-$1,400 levels has offered a glimmer of hope, as bulls begin to push back against the downtrend. This bounce follows aggressive volatility not just in crypto but across global equities, with price action rocked by continued geopolitical unrest and macroeconomic instability. US President Donald Trump’s unpredictable stance on tariffs remains a wildcard, keeping global markets on edge. Since peaking in late December, Ethereum has shed over 60% of its value, triggering growing concern that a full-scale bear market may be unfolding. Many investors have already exited positions, while others remain sidelined waiting for clarity. Still, some see opportunity. According to top analyst Ali Martinez, long-term Ethereum holders have now entered what’s commonly referred to as “capitulation” mode—a stage when even the most patient investors begin to fold under pressure. Martinez believes this could present a rare window for contrarian buyers. “For those watching risk-reward dynamics, this phase has historically marked prime accumulation zones,” he shared on X. Ethereum Long-Term Holder NUPL | Source: Ali Martinez on X While Ethereum’s path forward is still uncertain, current sentiment suggests that a critical test is underway—one that could determine whether this recovery has legs, or if further pain lies ahead. Related Reading Bulls Look To Confirm Recovery With Key Breakout Ethereum is showing signs of short-term strength as it forms an “Adam & Eve” bullish reversal pattern on the 4-hour chart. This classic technical formation, which starts with a sharp V-shaped low followed by a rounded bottom, often signals a potential breakout if price action holds and follows through. For Ethereum, reclaiming the $1,820 level is the first step to confirm this bullish structure. ETH forming a reversal in 4-hour chart | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView If bulls can push ETH above this level with conviction, the next key challenge lies at the 4-hour 200 moving average (MA) and exponential moving average (EMA), both of which converge around the $1,900 mark. A decisive breakout through this zone would validate the recovery setup and could kickstart a more sustained move higher. Related Reading However, failure to reclaim the $1,800 level in the coming days may keep ETH stuck in a consolidation range. If rejected, price could remain rangebound between current levels and the lower support area near $1,300, where ETH recently bounced. For now, all eyes are on how price reacts to the resistance levels ahead, as bulls aim to regain control and shift the short-term momentum in their favor. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Ethereum Could Be Mirroring Bitcoin’s 2018-2021 Cycle Amid Record Selling
Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Este artículo también está disponible en español. Crypto analyst The Cryptagon has raised the possibility of the Ethereum price mirroring Bitcoin’s 2018 to 2021 cycle, which he indicated was bullish ETH. This development comes amid record selling among ETH investors, which continues to exert downward pressure on the crypto. Ethereum Could Be Mirroring Bitcoin’s 2018-2021 Cycle In a TradingView post, the Cryptagon stated that Ethereum has been repeating Bitcoin’s 2018 to 2021 cycle very closely. He remarked that ETH’s long-term holders may remain bullish just by looking at this BTC cycle, seeing as ETH could achieve a similar end result like the flagship witnessed in that cycle. Related Reading The analyst admitted that Ethereum has been under heavy pressure since early December last year and almost touched the 12-month falling support this week. However, despite this development, the Cryptagon suggested that this is not the time to be bearish on ETH, as it could still reach new highs as it mirrors Bitcoin’s 2021 cycle. Source: Cryptagon on Tradingview He noted that in the 2021 cycle, a rebound on the falling support caused a massive breakout above the falling resistance and the Bitcoin price rallied to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. In line with this, the Cryptagon predicted that Ethereum could at least reach $8,000 in this market cycle as it repeats a similar price action. This bullish outlook for Ethereum comes amid record selling, which threatens any bullish reversal for ETH. In an X post, Cryptoquant founder Ki Young Ju revealed that Ethereum has faced record active selling over the past three months. This has contributed to ETH’s underperformance, with the altcoin being outperformed by other major altcoins like XRP and Solana over this period. While XRP touched its current all-time high (ATH) and SOL hit a new ATH, ETH has yet to come anywhere close to its current ATH. The Most Important Price Level For ETH At The Moment In an X post, crypto analyst Ali Martinez, revealed that $1,887 is the most important support level for Ethereum at the moment. At this level, investors bought 1.63 million ETH. A drop below this level could lead to another massive crash for the second-largest crypto by market cap, with many of these investors possibly selling off their coins in order to cut their losses. Related Reading Martinez has already raised the possibility of Ethereum crashing to as low as $800. He noted that the $4,000 price level had been holding a strong horizontal resistance trendline. However, ETH recently broke out of this trendline, which has significantly increased the probability of a 70% price drop to this $800 target. At the time of writing, the Ethereum price is trading at around $1,893, up over 1% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. ETH trading at $1,892 on the 1D chart | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com